Working Papers:

1. [] A Test for State-Dependent Predictive Ability based on a Markov-Switching Framework
   This version: May 2018   Download

2. [] Forecasting Canadian Recessions
   with R. Sekkel and M. Sties
   This version: March 2018   Download

3. [] Top Clubs' Performance in European International Football Competitions and Competitive Balance in the Domestic League
   with M. Lander
   In progress.

Publications:

1. [] First to $15: Alberta's Minimum Wage Policy on Employment by Wages, Ages, and Places
   with J. Marchand
   ILR Review, Vol. 77(1), 2024, 119-142.   Link
   Working paper (July 2023):   Download

2. [] Stay at home if you can: COVID-19 stay-at-home guidelines and local crime
   with C. Díaz & N. Trajtenberg
   Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, Vol. 19(4), 2022, 1067-1113.   Link
   Working paper (September 2022):   PDF   Appendix

3. [] Output Growth and Structural Reform in Latin America: Have Business Cycles Changed?
   Contemporary Economic Policy, Vol. 35(1), 2017, 62-75.   Link
   Working paper (February 2016):   PDF

4. [] Dating US Business Cycles with Macro Factors
   Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Vol. 20(5), 2016, 529-547.   Link
   Working paper (December 2015):   PDF   Data & Code

5. [] Forecasting US Recessions with Macro Factors
   Applied Economics, Vol. 47, 2015, 5726-5738.   Link
   Working paper (May 2015):   PDF   Data & Code

6. [] Unit Root Testing with Stationary Covariates and a Structural Break in the Trend Function
   Journal of Time Series Analysis, Vol. 34(3), 2013, 368-384.   Link
   Working paper (January 2013):   PDF   Code

7. [] Covariate Unit Root Tests with Good Size and Power
   Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Vol. 56(11), 2012, 3070-3079.   Link
   Working paper (May 2011):   PDF   Data & Code

8. [] Regional and International Market Integration of a Small Open Economy
   with F. Lorenzo and C.M. Rodríguez
   Journal of Applied Economics, Vol. 10(1), 2007, 77-98.   Link

Last update to this page: 07/2023