Working Papers

  1. [] A Test for State-Dependent Predictive Ability based on a Markov-Switching Framework
    This version: May 2018   Download

  2. [] Forecasting Canadian Recessions
    with R. Sekkel and M. Sties
    This version: March 2018   Download

 

Publications

  1. [] The Heterogeneous Effects of COVID-19 Lockdowns on Crime across the World
    with N. Trajtenberg, C. Díaz, & many others
    Crime Science, Vol. 13, 2024, article 22.   Link

  2. [] First to $15: Alberta's Minimum Wage Policy on Employment by Wages, Ages, and Places
    with J. Marchand
    ILR Review, Vol. 77(1), 2024, 119-142.   Link
    Working paper (July 2023):   Download

  3. [] Stay at home if you can: COVID-19 stay-at-home guidelines and local crime
    with C. Díaz & N. Trajtenberg
    Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, Vol. 19(4), 2022, 1067-1113.   Link
    Working paper (September 2022):   PDF   Appendix

  4. [] Output Growth and Structural Reform in Latin America: Have Business Cycles Changed?
    Contemporary Economic Policy, Vol. 35(1), 2017, 62-75.   Link
    Working paper (February 2016):   PDF

  5. [] Dating US Business Cycles with Macro Factors
    Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Vol. 20(5), 2016, 529-547.   Link
    Working paper (December 2015):   PDF   Data & Code

  6. [] Forecasting US Recessions with Macro Factors
    Applied Economics, Vol. 47, 2015, 5726-5738.   Link
    Working paper (May 2015):   PDF   Data & Code

  7. [] Unit Root Testing with Stationary Covariates and a Structural Break in the Trend Function
    Journal of Time Series Analysis, Vol. 34(3), 2013, 368-384.   Link
    Working paper (January 2013):   PDF   Code

  8. [] Covariate Unit Root Tests with Good Size and Power
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Vol. 56(11), 2012, 3070-3079.   Link
    Working paper (May 2011):   PDF   Data & Code

  9. [] Regional and International Market Integration of a Small Open Economy
    with F. Lorenzo & C.M. Rodríguez
    Journal of Applied Economics, Vol. 10(1), 2007, 77-98.   Link

 

Last update to this page: 07/2024