For a more complete listing of publications visit this Google Scholar user profile. Also see

Recent Journal Papers

Abbott, B. W., Jones, J.B., Schuur, E.A.G., Chapin III, F.S., Bowden, W.B., Bret-Harte, M.S., Epstein, H.E., Flannigan, M.D. et al. 2016. Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire. An expert assessment. Environmental Research Letters. 11, 034014 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014

Blouin, K.D., Flannigan, M.D., Wang, X. and Kochtubajda, B. 2016. Ensemble lightning prediction models for the province of Alberta, Canada. International Journal of Wildland Fire. Accepted.

Cary GJ, Davies ID, Bradstock, RA, Keane RE, and Flannigan MD. 2016. Importance of fuel treatment for limiting moderate-to-high intensity fire: Findings from comparative fire modelling.  Landscape Ecology. doi:10.1007/s10980-016-0420-8.

Flannigan, M.D., Wotton, M., Marshall, G., de Groot, W.J., Johnston, J. Jurko, N. and Cantin, A.S. 2016. Fuel moisture sensitivity to temperature and precipitation: Climate change implications. Climatic Change. 134:59-71. DOI 10.1007/s10584-015-1521-0.

Legrand, M., McConnell, J., Fischer, H., Wolff, E.W., Preunkert, S., Chellman, N. Leuenberger, D, Maselli, O., Sigl, M., Schupbach, S. and Flannigan, M. 2016. Boreal fire records in Northern Hemisphere ice cores: A review. Climate of the Past. Accepted.

Parisien, M-A., Miller, C., Parks, S.A., DeLancey, E. and Flannigan, M.D. 2016.The spatially varying influence of humans on fire probability in North America. Environmental Research Letters.

Robinne, F.-N. Emelko, M., Miller, C., Bladon, K., Parisien, M.A. and Flannigan M.D. 2016. A global index for mapping the exposure of water resources to Wildfire. Forests. 7(1), 22; doi:10.3390/f7010022

Robinne, F.-N. Parisien, M.A. and Flannigan M.D. 2016. Anthropogenic influence on wildfire activity in Alberta, Canada.  International Journal of Wildland Fire. Accepted.

Rogeau, M-P. Flannigan, M.D. Hawkes, B.C. and Arthur, R.J. 2016.  Fire regime departure in southern Alberta, Canada: implications for forest and wildfire management. International Journal of Wildland Fire. Accepted.

Smith, A.M., Kolden, C.A., Paveglio, T.B., Cochrane, M.A., Bowman, D.M., Moritz, M.A., Klisley, A.D. Alessa, L., Hudak, A.T., Hoffman, C.M., Lutz, J.A., Queen, L.P., Goetz, S.J., Higuera, P.E., Boschetti, L., Flannigan. M.D., Yedinak, K.M., Watts, A.C., Strand, E.K., van Wagtendonk, J.W., Anderson, J.W., Stocks, B.J. and Abatzoglou, J.T. 2016. The Science of firescapes: Achieving Fire Resilient Communities. Bioscience. Accepted.

Stockdale, C., Flannigan, M. and Macdonald, E. 2016. A critical Analysis of the use of Fire Regimes as the basis of Forest Ecoystem Management with examples from the Canadian Western Cordillera. Environmental Reviews.

Wang, X., Parisien, M-A., Taylor, S.W. Perakis, D.D., Little, J.M. and Flannigan. M.D. 2016. Future burn probability in south-central British Columbia. International Journal of Wildland Fire.

Field, R.D., Spessa, A.C. Aziz, N.A. Camai, A. Cantin, A., Carr, R., de Groot, W.J. Dowdy, A.J. Flannigan, M.D., Manomaiphiboon, K., Pappenberger, F., Tanpipat, V. and Wang, X. 2015. Development of a Global Fire Weather Database. Natural Hazards Earth Systems Science. 15, 1407-1423, doi:10.5194/nhess-15-1407-2015.

Flannigan, M.D. 2015. Fire Evolution split by continent. News and Views. Nature Geoscience. Doi: 10.1038/ngeo2360.

French, N., Jenkins, L., Loboda, T., Flannigan, M., Jandt, R., Bourgeau-Chavez, L., and Whitley,M. 2015. Fire in Arctic tundra of Alaska: Past and future fire occurrence and significance for land management and ecology. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 24: 1045-1061.

Kettridge, N., Turetsky, M., Sherwood, J., Thompson, D., Miller, C., Benscoter, B., Flannigan, M., Wotton, M. and Waddington, M. 2015. Moderate drop in water table increases peatland vulnerability to post-fire regime shift. Scientific Reports. 5:8063. doi:10.1038/srep08063.

Reisen, F., Duran, S.M., Flannigan, M.D., Elliott,C. and Rideout, K. 2015. Wildfire smoke and public health risk. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 24: 1045-1044.

Rogeau, M-P. Flannigan, M.D. and Parisien M-A. 2015.  Use of fire-return-intervals for sustainable forest management in complex fire regimes at the subalpine-foothills landscape interface of the Canadian Rockies.  Forest Science.

Sharpe M. and Ryu S.R. 2015. The Moisture Content and Opening of Serotinous Cones from Lodgepole Pine Killed by Mountain Pine Beetle. For. Chron. In press.

Wang, X., Thompson, D.K., Marshall, G.A., Tymstra, C., Carr, R. and Flannigan, M.D. 2015. Increasing frequency of extreme fire weather in Canada with climate change. Climatic Change. 130:573-586. DOI 10.1007/s10584-015-1375-5.

Price, O.J., Pausas, J.G., Govender, G., Flannigan, M.D., Fernandes, P.M., Brooks, M.L. and Bird, R.B. 2014. Global patterns in fire leverage: the response of annual area burnt to previous fire. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 24:297-306. View online.

Lehsten, V., de Groot, W.J., Flannigan, M.D., Charles, G.T. and Balzter H. 2014. Wildfires in boreal ecoregions: evaluating the power law assumption and intra- and inter-annual variations. JGR –Biogeosciences. 119:14-23. DOI: 10.1002/2012JG002252. View online.

Parisien, M-A., Parks, S.A., Krawchuk, M.A., Little, J.M., Flannigan, M.D., Gowman, L.M., and Moritz, M.A. 2014. An analysis of controls on fire activity in boreal Canada: comparing models built with different temporal resolutions. Ecological Applications. 24:1341-1356. View online

Scotto, M. G., Gouveia, S., Carvalho, A., Monteiro, A., Martins, V., Flannigan, M., San Miguel-Ayanz, J., Miranda, A.I. and C. Borrego. 2014. Area burned in Portugal over the last decades: an extreme value analysis. International Journal of Wildland Fire.23:812-824. View online.

Wang, X., Parisien, M-A., Flannigan. M.D., Parks, S.A. Anderson, K.R. Little, J.M. and Taylor, S.W. 2014. The potential and realized spread of wildfires across Canada. Global Change Biology. 20:2518-2530. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12590. View online.

Brandt, J.P., Flannigan, M.D., Maynard,D., Thompson, I. and Volney, W.J.A. 2013. An Introdcution to Canada’s boreal zone: ecosystem processes, health, sustainability and environmental issues. Environmental Reviews. 21:207-226. View online.

de Groot, W.J., Flannigan, M.D., and Cantin, A.S. 2013. Climate change impacts on future boreal fire regimes. Forest Ecology and Management. 294:35-44. View online.

de Groot, W.J., Cantin, A.S., Flannigan, M.D., Soja, A.J., Gowman, L.M. and Newbery, A. 2013. A comparison of Canadian and Russian boreal forest fire regimes. Forest Ecology and Management. 294:23-34. View online.

Flannigan, M.D. Cantin, A.S. de Groot, W.J. Wotton, M. Newbery, A. and Gowman, L.M. 2013. Global wildland fire season severity in the 21st century. Forest Ecology and Management.294:64-71. View online.

Keane, R., Cary, G., Flannigan, M., Parsons, R., Davies, I., King, K., Li, C., Bradstock, R., and Gill, A.M. 2013. Exploring the role of fire, succession, climate, and weather on landscape dynamics using comparative modeling. Ecological Modelling. 266: 172-186. View online.

Price, D.T., Alfaro, R.I. Brown, K.J., Flannigan, M.D., Fleming, R.A., Hogg, E.H., Girardin, M.P., Lakusta, T., Johnston, M., McKenney, D.W., Pedlar, J., Stratton, T. Sturrock, R. Thompson, I., Trofymow, J.A. and Venier, L.A. 2013. Anticipating the consequences of climate change for Canada’s boreal forest ecosystems. Environmental Reviews. 21:322-365. View online.

Parisien, M-A., Walker, G.R., Little, J.M., Simpson, B.N., Wang,X. and Perrakis, D.B. 2012. Considerations for modeling burn probability across landscapes with steep environmental gradients: an example from the Columbia Mountains, Canada. Natural Hazards. 66(2):439-462 DOI 10.1007/s11069-012-0495-8.


Recent Book Chapters
de Groot, W.J. and Flannigan, M.D. 2014. Climate change and early warning systems for wildland fire. Chapter 7. Reducing Disaster: Early Warning Systems and Climate Change. Edited by Z. Zommers and A. Singh. Springer. pp. 127-151.

de Groot, W.J., Wotton, B.M. and Flannigan, M.D. 2014. Wildland Fire Danger Rating and Early Warning Systems. Wildfire, Hazards, Risks, and Disasters. D. Paton. Elsevier. pp. 207-228.

Paton, D., Buergelt, P.T., and Flannigan, M.D. 2014. Ensuring that we can see the wood and the Trees: Growing the Capacity for Ecological Wildfire Risk Management. Wildfire, Hazards, Risks, and Disasters. D. Paton. Elsevier. pp. 247-262.

Flannigan, M.D., Gowman, L.M., Wotton, B.M. Krawchuk, M.A., de Groot, W.J. and Stocks, B.J. 2013. Modelling future wildland fire in the Circumboreal. Chapter 15. Vegetation Fires and Climate Change. Edited By J.G. Goldammer. Kessel Publishing House pp. 209-224.

Stocks, B.J. and Flannigan, M.D. 2013. Current fire regimes, impacts and likely changes: Past, Current and Future Boreal Fire Activity in Canada. Chapter 4. Vegetation Fires and Climate Change. Edited By J.G. Goldammer. Kessel Publishing House pp. 39-50.

Keane, R.E., G. Cary, and M. Flannigan. 2010. Challenges and needs in fire management: A landscape simulation modeling perspective. Book Chapter. Pages 77-89 In: Li, Chao, R Lafortezza, and J. Chen (editors) Landscape ecology in forest management and conservation: Challenges and solutions for global change. Springer, Higher Education Press, Beijing, China ISBN: 978-7-04-029136-0.

Soung Ryoul Ryu (English Editor), Joohoon Lim, Younggeun Lee, Jinhyun Jeong, and Myung Bo Lee (Korean Editors), Post Fire Restoration – to establish a healthy and sustainable forest ecosystem, Oct 30 2010, 60pp, Natural Record No. 11-1400377-000393-01.

Le Goff, H., Flannigan,  M., Bergeron, Y., Leduc, A., Gauthier. S. and K. Logan. 2009. Management solutions to face climate change, the example of forest fires. In Ecosystem Management in the boreal forest, S. Gauthier, M-A Vaillancourt, A. Leduc, L. De Grandpré, D. Kneeshaw, H. Morin, P. Drapeau and Y. Bergeron (Eds). Presses de l’Université du Québec,  pp.103-127.

Girardin, M., Flannigan, M., Tardif, J. and Y. Bergeron. 2009. Climate, weather and forest fire. In, Ecosystem Management in the boreal forest, S. Gauthier, M-A Vaillancourt, A. Leduc, L. De Grandpré, D. Kneeshaw, H. Morin, P. Drapeau and Y. Bergeron (Eds). Presses de l’Université du Québec, pp. 79-102.

Krezek-Hanes, C.C., Flannigan, M.D. and Cantin A. 2010.  Trends in large fires in Canada, 1959-2007. Canadian biodiversity: ecosystem status and trends 2010. Technical Thematic Report. No. 6.

Blouin, Karen. 2014. Lightning prediction models for the province of Alberta, Canada. University of Alberta. 132 pp. Download PDF

Chen, Yingxiu. 2013. Retrieving surface peat moisture in an Albertan bog with Radarsat-2. University of Alberta. 85 pp. Download PDF

Hwang, Hyejin. 2013. Using Fire To Trigger Cone Opening In Aerial Seedbanks In Healthy or Recently Dead Jack Pine Stands. University of Alberta. 70 pp. Download PDF

Moore, Brett. 2015. Increasing wildfire growth modelling decision support using ensemble weather forecasts over the province of Alberta, Canada. 125 pp. Download PDF

Rogeau-M-P. 2016. Fire regimes of Southern Alberta, Canada. 176 pp. Download PDF

Schiks, Thomas J. 2014. Fuel moisture and sustained flaming in masticated fuelbeds. University of Toronto. 103 pp.

Strategic Directions

There are four strategic directions: education, science, scientific applications and communications, and partnerships and collaboration. The theme of excellence threads through these strategic directions to ensure the development of science informed policies, practices and decision support tools.  Teaching and mentoring the next generation of scientists and practitioners will allow Canada to maintain its position as a world leader in fire management.