Burn-P3 (probability, prediction, and planning) is a spatial fire simulation model that is used for land-management planning and wildland fire research. It uses the Prometheus fire-growth engine to simulate the ignition and spread of a very large number of fires. The inputs to Burn-P3 consist of fuels (e.g., vegetation), topography, weather, and patterns of fire ignitions. Its main output is a surface of fire probabilities, or burn probability map.

  • Windows-based software application
  • Computes burn probabilities for large landscapes
  • Produces additional outputs, such as fire intensity maps
  • Extracts fire statistics and simulated fire perimeters

System Requirements

  • Processor 4 cores
  • 6 GB of RAM
  • 10 GB of available disk space
  • 64-bit Windows operating system, Windows 7/8/10
  • Softwares: Microsoft .NET Framework 4.0, 64-bit Java 8.0 for Windows, and Prometheus 6.2.2


Download Software

Download Burn-P3 documentation

Download Burn-P3 test files

Burn-P3 Map En

Technical Support:

Peter Englefield
Physical Sciences Officer
Northern Forestry Centre
Tel.: (780) 435-7254

Contact us

Objectives of Core Research and Education Program

  • Ensure that Canadian wildland fire science research continues to contribute to government priorities, and provides support for decision making, and the development of policies, regulations, and best practices;
  • Create opportunities for greater integration of science within Canada and improve collaboration with national and international partners;
  • Ensure wildland fire science educational (undergraduate and graduate levels) opportunities continue to be available, and;
  • Promote the highest standard of scientific and education excellence to help wildland fire agencies (forestry, natural resource and park agencies) to deliver on its program policy and services responsibilities.